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Bonk Rockets 30% to Lead Dog Meme Rebound; Floki Termed ‘Utility Token’ by CFTC

Memecoins are known for their high volatility and tend to outperform major tokens during price rallies, serving as a leveraged bet

Solana-based bonk (BONK) led growth among dog-themed memes Saturday as bitcoin staged a recovery rally to above $98,000, a day after Friday’s bloodbath that pushed it near $93,000.

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BONK surged 30%, CoinGecko data shows, with dogecoin (DOGE), shiba inu (SHIB), dogwifhat (WIF) and floki (FLOKI) surging as much as 20%. The dog-themed token category gained 8% on average in the past 24 hours, beating a market-wide jump of 4.5% as tracked by the broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.

Memecoins are known for their high volatility and tend to outperform major tokens during price rallies, serving as a leveraged bet on the overall crypto market sentiment.

However, in this case, fundamentals are helping back gains and sentiment among some memecoins. FLOKI was named alongside ether (ETH) and Avalanche’s AVAX as a utility token in a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) meeting last month.

The derivatives regulator proposed in a Global Markets Advisory Committee (GMAC) a new class of assets termed utility tokens, which fulfill six criteria that include providing their holder “immediately available, non-incidental consumptive use” in a crypto platform without including “governance and voting abilities.”

“FLOKI was recently highlighted by the CFTC’s Global Markets Advisory Committee as a case study of a utility token, which is a big deal and validates Floki’s utility-first approach,” Floki lead developer B told CoinDesk in a Telegram message. “Floki’s Valhalla metaverse game will go live in early Q1 2024, and the recently released Floki Trading Bot has generated over a million dollars in fees.

“This puts Floki on an entirely different level from other memecoins, especially when the market turns and people start to pay attention to fundamentals again,” B added.

Elsewhere, interest in BONK comes as a host of activities intend to deflate token supply gain traction among users — a move that has historically contributed to higher prices.

BonkDAO, a decentralized group of bonk believers that maintain the token, burned 100 billion tokens from the circulating supply in November and targeted a trillion token burn in December. This could increase the token’s value due to scarcity.

🔥 In just the last 30 days, over 30 BILLION $BONK have been burned across 3,856 wallets, averaging a scorching 1 BILLION daily!

Leading the charge are @bonkbot_io and @BonkEarn, setting the standard for burns.

And guess what? 1 TRILLION $BONK is about to go up in smoke by… pic.twitter.com/bWkkPd5ISZ

— Ario 🌲 (@ario_57_) December 20, 2024

The feat could meet its target in the weeks ahead, observers say.

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Ethena Rolls Out Stablecoin Backed by BlackRock’s BUIDL Token

The protocol’s governance token ENA rallied over the weekend as Donald Trump-affiliated World Liberty Financial invested in the token.

Red-hot decentralized finance (DeFi) project Ethena said Monday it is rolling out its new stablecoin that aims to help stabilize the protocol’s flagship USDe token when crypto markets turn bearish.

The USDtb token aims to keep a steady $1 price and holds 90% of its reserves in BUIDL, the tokenized money market fund issued by asset management behemoth BlackRock and tokenization firm Securitize.

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“In light of the rapidly accelerating demand for different stablecoin options, we saw a clear opportunity to provide a new product that offers users an entirely different risk profile from USDe without them having to leave our trusted ecosystem,” Ethena founder Guy Young said in a statement.

Ethena is one of the fastest-growing DeFi platforms this year, attracting nearly $6 billion of user funds since its public launch in early 2024. The protocol’s flagship token USDe, marketed as a “synthetic dollar” with a steady $1 price, generates yield to investors by shorting bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH) and solana (SOL) perpetual swaps and farming the funding rates. This investment strategy offers lofty yields – currently 27% annualized – when crypto markets are in bull mode, but can quickly turn unprofitable when things turn bearish with persistently negative funding rates.

The new offering will allow Ethena close the underlying derivatives positions behind USDe and divert the backing assets to USDtb during periods of negative funding rates and mitigating risks, the Ethena team explained.

The protocol also aspires to get USDtb accepted as collateral in the future for margin trading on centralized exchanges.

Ethena enlisted Copper, Zodia Custody, Komainu, and Coinbase Institutional as custodians for USDtb, according to a press release. Liquidity providers for the token include Jump, Cumberland, Amber Group, GSR Markets and SCB Limited.

Ethena also applied with the new USDtb stablecoin for Sky’s, formerly MakerDAO, so-called Tokenization Gran Prix program that aims to invest up to $1 billion funds in tokenized real-world asset (RWA) products.

The protocol’s governance token recently garnered the attention of President-elect Donald Trump DeFi project World Liberty Financial, which purchased some $500,000 worth of tokens on Saturday, blockchain data showed. ENA subsequently rallied 25% over the weekend before paring some of the advance on Monday.

Tether Invests in MiCA-Compliant Stablecoin Issuer StablR

The crypto company behind USDT, the largest stablecoin, decided to shutter its own euro-pegged stablecoin and back smaller issuers that comply with the EU’s MiCA regulations.

Tether, the crypto company behind the $140 billion USDT cryptocurrency, said on Tuesday it has invested in European stablecoin company StablR.

StablR issues euro and U.S. dollar stablecoins EURR and USDR and obtained an electronic money institution (EMI) license in Malta in July, a necessary step to comply with EU-wide regulations.

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Tether will also support StablR’s operations with its recently unveiled tokenization platform Hadron, providing tools for compliance, know-your-customer (KYC) and anti-money-laundering (AML) checks, risk management and secondary market monitoring.

The firms did not disclose the size of the investment nor the valuation. A Tether spokesperson told CoinDesk that Tether now has a “significant equity position” in StablR.

The investment is the latest example of Tether’s strategy to keep a foothold in the EU by backing smaller issuers and providing services through its tokenization platform Hadron as the bloc’s MiCA regulation enters into force by the end of this year. The firm decided to shutter its own euro-pegged stablecoin last month, while invested in Netherlands-regulated payments firm and stablecoin issuer Quantoz.

“The European stablecoin market is at a turning point, with regulation finally catching up to innovation,” Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino told CoinDesk. “The company sees the evolving regulatory landscape as a positive step forward but is concerned about the systemic risks it introduces, particularly within the already vulnerable European banking sector.” Tether has been a vocal critic of the MiCA rules that require major stablecoin issuers to hold a large part of the backing assets in bank deposits. The company holds over 83% of USDT reserves in U.S. government bonds, repo agreements and money market funds.

Stablecoins, or cryptocurrencies with steady prices pegged to fiat currencies, are a $200 billion and quickly growing class of digital assets. They are popular as liquidity for crypto trading and are getting increasingly used for everyday payments and remittances due to cheaper and faster settlements using blockchains instead of traditional banking rails. U.S. dollar stablecoins dominate the market with a nearly 99% share, while their euro counterparts lagged in adoption sitting at just about $400 million in market value.

Binance’s Crypto Market Share Sinks to 4-Year Low

While Binance remains a giant in crypto trading, its volumes dropped over 20% in September versus the previous month, while rival Crypto.com’s surged over 40%.

Crypto exchange giant Binance’s lead over rivals melted to its narrowest in four years as rivals grabbed market share, CCData said in a Thursday report.

Binance handled 36.6% of overall spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized crypto exchanges, the exchange’s worst result since September 2020.

Its spot trading dropped by nearly 23% from August, driving its spot market share down to 27%, the lowest reading since January 2021, the report said. The platform’s derivatives trading also declined 21%, representing a 40.7% market share among centralized exchanges, the lowest level since September 2020.

Binance representatives haven’t returned a request for comment by publishing time.

One of the beneficiaries of Binance’s decline was Crypto.com, which grew its spot and derivatives trading volume by more than 40% on a month-to-month basis, CCData pointed out. Year-to-date, the exchange booked the largest gain in spot trading, increasing its market share to 10.5%.

Overall, trading activity on crypto exchanges waned last month with derivatives and spot trading volumes both falling 17%, the report noted. September historically marks the end of a weak mid-year season in trading, giving way to a busier last quarter, CCData analysts said. “With catalysts such as increased market liquidity following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut and the upcoming U.S. election, trading activity on centralized exchanges is expected to rise in the coming months,” the authors wrote.

Binance’s waning dominance coincided with increasing regulatory pressure on the exchange.

Last month, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a proposed amended complaint against Binance, scrutinizing the exchange’s token listing practice. It was a follow-up on the regulator’s June 2023 lawsuit, which alleged Binance operated as an unregistered broker, clearinghouse and trading venue, and offered unregistered securities. The exchange agreed to pay a $4.3 billion fine to various U.S. regulators to settle those charges.

The company’s founder and former CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao pleaded guilty and was sentenced to four months in prison for violating the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) by failing to set up adequate know-your-customer (KYC) systems at the trading venue. He was released last week.

XRP’s ‘Bearish Skew’ Persists After 10% Price Slide Amid SEC Appeal and ETF Filing

Just as optimism was about to surge, clouds rolled in, pushing prices lower.

XRP’s (XRP) options market shows a greater risk of an extended price decline than renewed gains as renewed regulatory uncertainty overshadows Bitwise’s ETF filing and weighs over the cryptocurrency’s price.

On Monday, asset manager Bitwise submitted an S-1 form to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), filing for an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that would invest in XRP. Bitcoin and ether spot ETFs, which debuted in the U.S. early this year, have pulled in billions of dollars in investor money.

However, to the dismay of XRP bulls, Bitwise’s action was quickly followed by the SEC filing a notice of appeal to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals, pushing back against Judge Analisa Torres’s two-month-old ruling that fintech company Ripple Labs did not violate programmatic sales to retail exchanges did not violate securities rules.

Four years ago, the SEC charged Ripple with selling unregistered securities after the platform sold $1.3 billion worth of XRP. While Ripple is a fintech company dedicated to building a global payments network, XRP is an independent digital asset for online payments and currency swaps.

Being categorized as security is widely seen as a bearish development in the crypto market, as securities are more tightly regulated than commodities and demand greater reporting and transparency by companies.

As such, XRP has declined by 11% to 53.7 cents in the past 24 hours, taking the week-to-date loss to over 16%, according to data sources CoinDesk and Coingecko. It’s the third worst-performing cryptocurrency among the top 100 coins by market value. Market leaders bitcoin and ether are down 0.5% and 3.7%, respectively.

Bearish options skew

Options traders on Deribit seem relatively more bearish on XRP than bitcoin and ether, according to the seven-day call-put skew, which measures the difference between call and put volatility (demand).

At press time, XRP’s seven-day skew was -3.2%, a sign of bias for puts offering protection against price slides. BTC and ETH’s seven-day skews were 0% or neutral and 2.8%, according to data source Amberdata.

Meanwhile, funding rates in the XRP perpetual futures market have turned positive, reversing the brief overnight negative flip, which represented a bearish bias.

Bitcoin Could Surge Thanks to Looser Financial Conditions

A less-widely followed report from the Chicago Fed indicated the easiest conditions since November 2021.

The Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) offers a weekly update on U.S. financial conditions across money markets, debt and equity markets, and the traditional and shadow banking systems. The NFCI is a valuable tool for assessing the health of financial markets, providing insights into liquidity, credit availability, and market risk. The index is structured so that a negative NFCI value indicates looser-than-average financial conditions, suggesting an environment where liquidity is more readily available. Conversely, a positive value indicates tighter-than-average conditions, where access to capital becomes more restrictive.

For the week ending Sept. 13, the NFCI registered at -0.56, indicating that financial conditions eased even further from the already looser than average level of the previous week. This level of financial ease hasn’t been seen since November 2021, a period during which bitcoin (BTC) reached its 2021 cycle high of $69,000.

A noteworthy analysis on the relationship between the NFCI and bitcoin was recently shared by Fejau, host of the Forward Guidance Podcast. In an X thread, Fejau pointed out the negative correlation between the NFCI and bitcoin, arguing that looser financial conditions often act as a tailwind for risky assets. According to Fejau, when financial conditions loosen, easing increases, leading to a risk-on environment where speculative assets, including bitcoin, tend to rally.

Fejau’s analysis traces this negative correlation across several market cycles. In 2013, as financial conditions eased, bitcoin surged from around $100 in July to over $1,000 by November. This coincided with the NFCI index registering a low of around -0.80, indicating significantly looser than average financial conditions.

Similarly, in 2017-2018, the loosening of financial conditions coincided with bitcoin’s dramatic rise from $2,000 to $20,000 in just six months at the end of 2017. However, during the COVID-19 pandemic, financial conditions tightened significantly—the most restrictive since 2009—leading to a crash in both traditional risk assets and bitcoin.

Most recently, Fejau notes that as financial conditions have loosened over the past twelve months, bitcoin has once again surged, climbing from $25,000 to over $73,000 in March 2024 even before global central banks started to cut interest rates. Which shows financial conditions have been loose for the past twelve months.

This relationship is not entirely straightforward, with other factors like the DXY index (a measure of the U.S. dollar’s strength) also influencing bitcoin’s trajectory. A rising DXY tends to have negative implications for bitcoin, as a stronger dollar makes speculative assets less attractive.

As financial conditions continue to ease, the outlook for bitcoin and other speculative investments could remain positive, provided other economic factors remain supportive.

Bitcoin’s Use as Margin Collateral in Crypto Futures Trading Is Growing

Using BTC as collateral for a derivative is effectively a double whammy, according to analysts.

Bitcoin (BTC) is unlikely to shed its tag as an unpredictable and volatile asset any time soon because crypto traders are increasingly using the largest cryptocurrency as a margin in futures trading.

Since July, the percentage of bitcoin futures open interest margined with bitcoin has risen to 33% from roughly 20%, according to data tracked by Glassnode. Cash or stablecoin-margined contracts still account for 65% of the total open interest.

Futures are leveraged products, allowing traders to maximize exposure for a deposit at the exchange, known as margin, which is a small percent of the contract size. The exchange provides the rest of the value of the trade. The renewed interest in BTC-margined contracts means potential for volatility-boosting liquidations cascades, according to research provider Blockware Intelligence. That occurs when multiple liquidations – or forced closure of positions due to margin shortage – happen consecutively, causing a rapid price change.

“Using BTC as collateral for a BTC derivative is effectively a double whammy,” analysts at Blockware Intelligence said in a weekly newsletter. “If you’re long BTC with BTC posted as collateral, the price going down brings you to your liquidation point faster because the value of your collateral is declining at the same time. “Leveraging against your BTC during its monetization phase is extremely risky, [as] you can be correct directionally, but volatility can wipe you out regardless.”

Coin-margined contracts are quoted in U.S. dollars, but margined and settled in cryptocurrencies. In other words, the collateral is as volatile as the position, creating a non-linear payoff, where a trader earns less when the market rallies and loses more when the market drops.

So, not only does a long position bleed as bitcoin’s dollar-denominated price drops, but the collateral also loses value, compounding losses. That, in turn, results in a relatively quick margin shortfall and potential liquidation.

The trend is worrying in a sense that should coin-margined contracts become dominant, we may see frequent volatility-boosting liquidations cascades. Such events were quite common before September 2021, when coin-margined contracts accounted for more than 50% of the global open interest.

According to Blockware, the renewed interest in such contracts represents a shortage of cash in the market.

“The spike in this metric over the past few months is curious, it may suggest that traders are running out of cash and are resorting to leveraging against their BTC as the last means of increasing their exposure,” the analysts said.

Liquidity has been leaving the crypto market for some time. According to CCData, the total market value of all stablecoins contracted by 0.4% to $125 billion in August, the 17th consecutive monthly decline. The market cap of tether (USDT), the world’s largest stablecoin by market value, has fallen almost $1 billion to $82.87 billion in the past four weeks, CoinGecko data show.

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Grayscale’s Legal Win Versus SEC Makes Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval More Likely: JPMorgan

For the SEC to defend its denial of Grayscale’s proposal to convert GBTC into an ETF, it would have to withdraw its previous approval of futures-based bitcoin ETFs, which is unlikely, the report said.

It is more likely that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would be forced to approve the spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded-fund (ETF) applications from several asset managers after a federal court ruled that the regulator must review its rejection of Grayscale’s attempt to convert the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF, JPMorgan (JPM) said in a report Friday.

“The most important element of the Grayscale vs. SEC court ruling was that the denial by SEC was arbitrary and capricious because the Commission failed to explain its different treatment of similar products i.e., futures-based bitcoin ETFs,” analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote. Grayscale and CoinDesk are both owned by Digital Currency Group (DCG).

The court argued that fraud and manipulation in the spot market posed a similar risk to both futures and spot products because the “spot bitcoin market and CME bitcoin futures market are so tightly correlated,” the report said.

JPMorgan notes that the court ruled there was no justification to allow futures-based bitcoin ETFs but deny spot ETFs. That’s highly significant because it implies that for the SEC to defend its denial of Grayscale’s proposal to convert GBTC, “it would have to retroactively withdraw its previous approval of futures-based bitcoin ETFs.”

A retroactive withdrawal would be extremely disruptive and embarrassing for the SEC and therefore appears unlikely, the bank said.

Still, while the Grayscale ruling may bring closer to the eventual approval of a spot bitcoin ETF, “such an approval is unlikely to prove a game changer for the crypto market,” the note said.

Spot bitcoin ETFs have existed for some time outside the U.S., but have failed to attract considerable investor interest, and bitcoin funds overall, both futures-based and physically backed funds, have attracted little investor interest since the second quarter of 2021, the report added.

Spot-based ETFs allow investors to hold their positions indefinitely while eliminating the rollover cost associated with futures ETFs. The crypto market is optimistic that an eventual launch of spot-based ETFs will unlock floodgates to mainstream money.

Read more: SEC Could Prepare Alternative Arguments to Reject Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Berenberg

SOL, XRP Lead Slide in Crypto Majors as Bitcoin Slips Below $30K

Some selling pressure may have arisen from a revised U.S. bill that excludes a host of traditional securities from the “digital asset” category, which some say bodes ill for DeFi.

Verilere göre, solana’nın SOL’u gibi en büyük blok zincirlerinden bazılarının belirteçleri son 24 saatte %8’e kadar düştüğü için, bitcoin’de (BTC) kar elde etme, daha geniş bir pazar düşüşüne katkıda bulundu.

Daha geniş geleneksel pazarlar nispeten değişmeden kalırken, Bitcoin Cuma günü Avrupa saatlerinde 30.000 doların altına düştü. Eter (ETH) %3’ün üzerinde değer kaybetti. Diğer büyük sınırlar arasında, XRP son 24 saatte %6’ya kadar düşerken, Cardano’nun ADA’sı ve Avalanche’ın AVAX’ı aynı dönemde %4 düştü.

Başka yerlerde, Stellar’ın XLM’si, tacirlerin geçen haftaya göre %10’luk bir artışın ardından muhtemelen kar elde etmesi nedeniyle %6,6 düştü. Chainlink’in LINK’i, bu hafta başlarında CCIP protokolünün tanıtılmasıyla desteklenen Perşembe günü %15’lik bir artışın ardından yatay işlem gördü.

Some of the selling pressure may have arisen as U.S. House Republicans introduced a new digital assets oversight bill on Thursday that aims to establish a regulatory framework to protect investors in the crypto sector.

Analysts said parts of the revised bill exclude from the definition of “digital assets” a range of traditional securities such as stocks, bonds, “transferable share[s],” “certificate[s] of interest or participation in any profit-sharing agreement,” and so on.

“All they have to do is argue that a token is a “transferable share” “a profit interest” etc,” Gabriel Shapiro, general counsel at crypto fund Delphi Digital, tweeted. “XRP and such will be fine but DeFi can still be persecuted at will… actually the regulators will have expanded authority to do so.”

Kripto piyasasının piyasa değeri ağırlıklı performansını ölçmek için tasarlanmış geniş tabanlı bir endeks olan CoinDesk Piyasa Endeksi (CMI) %1,7 düştü.

Bu arada Coinglass analitik aracından alınan verilere göre, fiyatlardaki düşüş son 24 saatte 66 milyon doların üzerinde tasfiyeye neden oldu. Bu tasfiyelerin %70’inden biraz fazlası, uzun pozisyonlarda veya daha yüksek fiyatlar üzerine bahis yapan tacirlerden kaynaklanıyordu.

Tasfiyeler, tüccarlar, fiyatlar önceden belirlenmiş bir tasfiye seviyesine ulaştığında kaybedilen nispeten daha küçük bir başlangıç sermayesi kullanarak kripto fiyatları üzerine bahis oynamak için borsalardan borç aldıklarında meydana gelir.

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Bitcoin, Ether Headed Toward Losing Months in Usually Upbeat July

BTC could suffer its second monthly downturn of 2023, while ether seems headed for its first losing month.

Bitcoin continued a month-long stagnancy, logging a fourth consecutive week of less than 2% in price movement. Directionally, the largest asset by market capitalization closed the week down 1.3%, after rising 0.3% the week prior. With 10 days remaining in July, Bitcoin is poised to log its second losing month of 2023.

Ether followed a similar trajectory though its trading range has been wider with this week’s 1.63% decline following f a 3.24% increase last week. Ether has yet to log a losing month this year, but will need to surpass $1,934 over the next 10 days to maintain its winning streak. ETH was recently changing hands at $1,897, up 0.2%. July has been a historically positive month for digital assets.

BTC and ETH’s seven-day performance ranked them 26th and 29th in a list of cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization of $1 billion or more.

The weekly leader was peer-to-peer lending platform Maker (MKR), which rose more than 30% over the most recent seven days, and is up more than 120% year-to-date. XLM performed strongly as well, increasing more than 20% over the identical period. The currency which tends to correlate tightly with XRP is up 117% year to date.

They also stood out among the CoinDesk Market Indices (CMI) weekly rankings within their respective sectors.

XLM ranked first in the CMI currency sector, while MKR led in the DeFi sector.

Overall Currency and DeFi sector performance within the CMI universe was muted this week, with DeFi finishing up 1.3% and the currency sector falling 0.5%. The computing sector led all sectors this week, increasing 6.4%.

The leading component within the computing sector was Chainlink (LINK), an oracle network which serves as a bridge between on-chain and off-chain environments. The asset, up 45% year-to-date, rose close to 20% this week.

The CMI weekly laggard was the Smart Contract Platform sector, which was held down by EthereumPoW (ETHW), and MultiversX’s (EGLD) underperformance.

What’s on tap for next week

Investors next week will be eyeing Wednesday’s Fed Interest Rate decision.

The CME Fedwatch tool is currently assigning a 99.8% probability that the central bank will boost rates 25 basis points (bps). .

Markets will also likely be scrutinizing Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Chair Jerome Powell’s comments following the rate decision. Given recent macroeconomic data, Powell is likely to echo his comments from the past month that while inflation has declined, it remains unacceptably high and that the Fed will have to renew its prescription of monetary tightening.