Prizmabet

Short-Term Holders Send $3B in Bitcoin to Exchanges at a Loss as Mideast Tensions Rise

Geopolitical tensions triggered consecutive daily declines of almost 4% in bitcoin’s price.

In the past two days, Sept. 30-Oct. 1, bitcoin (BTC) registered consecutive declines of 3.7% as geopolitical tensions ramped up in the Middle East, culminating in Iran’s 200 ballistic- missile attack on Israel on Tuesday.

With the largest cryptocurrency little changed on Wednesday, this year marks the worst-ever start to an October, a month that’s historically provided positive returns.

One headwind comes from so-called short-term holders, which Glassnode defines as investors who have held bitcoin for less than 155 days. This is a group that tends to panic-sell when the BTC price drops below their cost basis. Glassnode data shows this cohort has bought roughly 100,000 bitcoin since Sept. 19, when bitcoin was trading at $62,000.

By Sept. 27, bitcoin had surged to above $66,000, and, as the chart shows, this group was buying aggressively as the price increased. However, they started dumping their holdings as the price started to fall.

In the past two days, short-term holders have sent roughly 64,000 bitcoin to exchanges, the equivalent of $4 billion. Of that, some $3 billion was sent at a loss, meaning it was sent when the price was lower than the entity’s average on-chain acquisition price.

This is the highest amount of loss sent to exchanges by the group since Aug. 5, during the yen carry trade unwind, which saw $2.5 billion of losses sent in one day.

Long-term holders, on the other hand, seem to be holding their nerve. As a group, they sent just 100 bitcoin at a loss to exchanges over the same time frame.

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Franklin Templeton Adds Aptos Blockchain to Support Tokenized Money Market Fund

The $435 million fund is also available on Avalanche, Arbitrum, Stellar and Polygon.

Meta’nın geliştirdiği ve artık üretilmeyen Diem (eski adıyla Libra) blok zincirinden esinlenerek geliştirilen 1. Katman blok zinciri Aptos (APT), yatırımcıların Franklin Templeton’ın OnChain ABD Hükümet Para Piyasası Fonu (FOBXX) hisselerini alıp satabilecekleri en yeni ağ haline geldi.

Piyasadaki en büyük ikinci tokenize fon olan ve 435 milyon dolarlık piyasa değerine sahip olan fon, halihazırda Ethereum’da Arbitrum, Stellar ve Polygon’un yanı sıra Avalanche üzerinden de mevcut.

Franklin’in son eklemesi, Aptos’un, şirketin blok zinciriyle entegre kayıt tutma sistemi olan Benji platformu için varlık yöneticisinin titiz uygunluk standartlarını da karşılayan benzersiz özelliklerinden kaynaklanıyor, dedi Franklin Templeton’daki dijital varlıklar başkanı Roger Bayston. Bir Benji tokeni, fonun bir hissesini temsil ediyor.

Aptos, 2022 yılında piyasaya sürülen oldukça genç bir Layer 1 blok zinciridir. Daha hızlı ve daha korumalı işlemlere olanak sağladığını iddia ettiği Move programlama dilini kullanır.

Blockchain’in geliştiricisi olan Aptos Labs, uzun zamandır diğer 1. Katman blockchain’lerinde olduğu gibi, merkezi olmayan finans (DeFi) ile büyük, geleneksel kurumlar arasındaki boşluğu kapatmayı misyon edinmiştir.

Şirket, nisan ayında Microsoft, Brevan Howard ve Güney Koreli telekomünikasyon operatörü SK Telecom ile ortaklık kurarak kurumların merkezi olmayan finans alanında deney yapmasını kolaylaştırmaya başladı.

Aptos Vakfı Hibe ve Ekosistem Başkanı Bashar Lazaar, “Franklin Templeton’ın gerçek anlamda merkezi olmayan ve erişilebilir bir finansal gelecek adına yenilik yapma isteği ilham verici” dedi.

“Bu geleceğe ulaşmak için sadece TradFi ve DeFi dünyalarını değil, EVM ve EVM dışı ağları da birbirine bağlamamız gerekiyor. Benji Investments platformunu Aptos Network ile entegre etmek doğru yönde atılmış büyük bir adım ve onları Aptos ekosistemine davet etmeyi dört gözle bekliyoruz” dedi.

Christie’s to Offer Blockchain-Based Ownership Certificates for Photography Collection

Wednesday’s sale of “An Eye Towards the Real: Photographs from the Collection of Ambassador Trevor Traina,” in New York will see digital certificates issued for each of the 130 lots, which will be minted by Kresus on Base.

Christie’s is again experimenting with blockchain-based technology by issuing digital certificates of ownership for a photograph collection by Trevor Traina, the founder of wallet provider Kresus and former U.S. ambassador to Austria.

The auction house’s sale of “An Eye Towards the Real: Photographs from the Collection of Ambassador Trevor Traina,” on Wednesday at the Rockefeller Center in New York will issue digital certificates for each of the 130 lots. The ownership certificates will be minted by Kresus on Base, the Ethereum layer-2 blockchain developed by Coinbase (COIN).

“This pilot program marks a significant step forward in the art world’s adoption of blockchain technology, aligning physical works with digital certificates to ensure transparency and security for art collectors,” Christie’s and Kresus said in an emailed announcement on Wednesday.

Christie’s involvement in blockchain-based innovations goes back to 2021, when it auctioned digital artist Beeple’s “Everyday” collection for $69 million, at the time the most expensive non-fungible token (NFT) ever sold.

Bitwise Makes XRP ETF Plans Official With SEC Filing

The asset manager’s S-1 comes a day after it registered a trust entity with the state of Delaware.

Bitwise, dünyanın en büyük kripto paraları arasında yer alan Ripple ile ilişkili token olan XRP’ye (XRP) bağlı bir borsa yatırım fonu başlatmak için büyük bir adım attı.

Varlık yöneticisi Çarşamba günü, yeni bir menkul kıymet ihraç etmek ve halka açık bir borsada listelenmek isteyen şirketler için bir gereklilik olan S-1 formunu ABD Menkul Kıymetler ve Borsa Komisyonu’na sundu .

“Bugün bir Bitwise XRP ETP için S-1 başvurusunda bulunduk!” diye yazdı Bitwise CEO’su Hunter Horsley, X’te yazdığı bir gönderide. “ XRP, on yıldan uzun bir süredir birçok yatırımcının maruz kalmak istediği kalıcı bir kripto varlık olmuştur.”

Bu hamle, Bitwise’ın Delaware eyaletinde “XRP ETF” adlı bir güven kuruluşu kaydettirmesinden bir gün sonra geldi; birçok şirket tüzel kişiliklerini bu eyalette listeliyor ve kripto ETF ihraççıları, Delaware başvuruları aracılığıyla planlarını birden fazla kez bildirdi.

CoinDesk verilerine göre XRP, 33 milyar dolarlık piyasa değeriyle yedinci en büyük kripto para birimidir . Daha büyük rakipleri olan bitcoin (BTC) ve Ethereum’un ether’i (ETH), bu yılın başından beri yatırımcılara geleneksel finans alanında oldukça popüler bir ürün türü olan ETF olarak sunulmaktadır.

S-1 başvurusunun sunulması bir fonun tanıtımında ilk adım olsa da, yatırım fonunun listelenmesini isteyen borsada gerekli kural değişikliğini işaret etmek için gereken 19b-4 adı verilen başka bir başvurunun ardından sunulmadığı takdirde belgenin temelde hiçbir anlamı yoktur.

SEC’in başvuruyu onaylama veya reddetme kararını katı bir zaman çizelgesine bağlayan 19b-4’ün aksine, düzenleyicinin S-1’e yanıt verme yükümlülüğü bulunmuyor; bu da Bitwise’ın onay almasının yıllar alabileceği anlamına geliyor.

Örneğin VanEck, 2021’de bir ether ETF’si başlatmak için S-1 başvurusunda bulundu , ancak fon üç yıl sonra, Temmuz 2024’e kadar piyasaya sürülmedi .

Ancak Bitwise’ın XRP’yi takip eden bir fon oluşturma çabası “son derece dikkat çekici” dedi sektör uzmanlarından biri ve ETF Store başkanı Nate Geraci Salı günkü dosyaya yanıt olarak.

“Bitwise, duvara bir şeyler fırlatmayan, son derece güvenilir bir kripto-yerel fon firmasıdır” diye ekledi.

U.S. Election Betting: Court Ends Pause on Kalshi’s Congressional Contracts

The CFTC “has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal,” an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts.

With a month to go before the U.S. election, prediction market Kalshi just got cleared to resume listing its contracts on which party will control each house of Congress.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia denied a motion by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to halt the contracts pending the agency’s appeal of the case it lost to Kalshi in a lower court last month.

“The Commission has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal, and therefore its motion for a stay is denied without prejudice to renewal should substantiating evidence arise,” wrote Circuit Judge Patricia Millett. “The administrative stay is hereby dissolved.”

Following its long-sought victory in the lower court, Kalshi listed the contracts on Sept. 13. They traded for only a few hours before the appeals court granted an administrative stay, which it lifted Tuesday.

Kalshi, the sole U.S.-regulated prediction market, sued the CFTC last year after the agency denied the exchange’s application to list election contracts, on the grounds that they constituted gaming and would be contrary to the public interest.

While it’s been fighting the agency in court, the New York-based company, which settles bets in dollars, has watched crypto-powered rival Polymarket, which is barred from doing business in the U.S., nevertheless rack up record volumes during this election year. Over $1 billion alone has been staked on Polymarket’s contract on who will win the presidency.

A Kalshi spokesperson told CoinDesk the company did not yet have a timetable for resuming listing the contracts, but that it would “very soon.”

The Rise of Index Investing in Crypto

Despite undeniable growth, crypto remains volatile, posing challenges for even seasoned investors. An increasingly popular solution to navigating these risks is crypto index investing, says Julien Vallet, CEO, Finst.

Cryptocurrency has evolved as a global asset class with significant implications for modern investment portfolios. Despite undeniable growth, crypto remains volatile, posing challenges for even seasoned investors. An increasingly popular solution to navigating these risks is crypto index investing. Crypto index funds are products that bundle multiple cryptocurrencies into a single vehicle, offering a diversified, systematic approach to gaining exposure to the digital asset market while mitigating some of its inherent risks.

You’re reading Crypto Long & Short, our weekly newsletter featuring insights, news and analysis for the professional investor. Sign up here to get it in your inbox every Wednesday.

The value of crypto index investing

Increasing popularity among institutional investors

An increasing number of institutional investors are looking for ways to participate in crypto without taking on unnecessary risk. Index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that focus on digital assets have emerged as a compelling option. We’ve experienced this trend as well with 30% of our retail and institutional clients opting to diversify their portfolios through a crypto index bundle.

Tailoring the index to investor goals

Crypto index funds have the ability to tailor exposure based on specific investment goals and risk tolerance. Some indexes focus exclusively on large-cap cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether, providing a stable base of well-established assets. Others may prioritize high-growth sectors like decentralized finance or newer blockchain protocols, offering higher potential upside alongside increased risk.

Selecting the right index strategy depends on a detailed understanding of the underlying assets and market dynamics. Diversified exposure can enhance the risk-adjusted return profile of a portfolio, but the nuances of index composition should align with an investor’s broader strategy.

Index investing offers a strategic, risk-managed approach for professional investors looking to capitalize on the crypto market’s growth. By offering diversified exposure, reducing operational complexity, and providing a controlled entry into the crypto ecosystem, index funds and ETFs are becoming valuable tools for those navigating the digital asset landscape.

Note: The views expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk, Inc. or its owners and affiliates.

EigenLayer’s Token Launch Draws Scrutiny Over Supply Concerns

The token has dropped from $4.39 to $3.57 since it went live.

In some ways, the release of EigenLayer’s native EIGEN token this week went as expected.

The price surged moments after it was listed on exchanges, leading to a price discovery period culminating in a 22% slide from its momentary record high.

But there appears to be a more serious issue brewing, with investors and community members complaining about a lack of transparency regarding token supply.

EIGEN’s total supply is fixed at 1.68 billion and its circulating supply is 186 million. These figures give the asset a fully diluted value of $5.8 billion and a market cap, excluding tokens not in circulation, of $650 million. The issue many community members raise stems from a portion of those locked tokens, which belong to early investors that bought during heavily-discounted funding rounds.

Investors that bought in EigenLayer’s $14.4 million seed round, $50 million Series A and most recent $100 million raise in February now can stake their locked tokens to yield rewards. As it stands, there are 130 million EIGEN tokens staked. Many believed these were all a part of the claimed tokens but in fact, 70 million of these tokens belong to this small group of early investors.

Data availability protocol Celestia suffered a similar issue following its token launch, as early investors staked their dominant TIA stacks to receive tradable rewards, which many then traded away. TIA has plunged 75% since February.

EigenLayer investor TardFiWhale.eth wrote on X that the project recently updated its documents to state that “Eigen Labs investors are not restricted from staking” and that rewards are not subject to lock-ups. The X post claims this information wasn’t in an archived document from mid-September.

EigenLayer’s blog post on “token disclosures” was last revised on Sept. 30.

“Transparency will enable us to engage in more honest and open discussions about these issues,” TardFiWhale.eth wrote. “I personally believe that allowing investors with locked EIGEN to stake makes sense from a governance perspective, given the complexity and goals of Eigenlayer. However, I also believe that the rewards earned from staking should be locked until the cliff is reached” at the end of the 12-month vesting period.

EigenLayer allocated 86 million tokens to early adopters including node operators and stakers, but even this has led to criticism as whales were able to receive disproportionate rewards compared to the general population. Tron founder Justin Sun received an airdrop worth $8.75 million, almost all of which was deposited to HTX, the exchange formerly known as Huobi, according to data provider Arkham.

EIGEN recently traded at $3.57, having initially surged as high as $4.39, CoinMarketCap data shows.

An EigenLayer spokesperson offered no comment by press time.

Indiana Man Pleads Guilty to Stealing $38M in Crypto Via ‘Cyber Intrusion’

Evan Light, 21, faces up to 40 years in prison for his role in the crime.

An Indiana man has pleaded guilty to taking part in the “cyber intrusion” of a Sioux Falls, South Dakota-based financial services company, during which he and unnamed co-conspirators hacked into the company’s servers, stole customers’ personal information, and then stole nearly $38 million in cryptocurrency from 571 victims.

According to his plea agreement, 21-year-old Evan Light, of Lebanon, Indiana, and his unnamed co-conspirators were able to infiltrate the unnamed company’s servers after stealing the identity of one of its clients. They then used that client’s information to illegally gain access to the company’s servers and carry out the theft.

After the theft, Light pleaded guilty to laundering the group’s ill-gotten gains, funneling them through “multiple mixing services and gambling websites” to conceal his identity and the identities of his co-conspirators. He also pleaded guilty to wiring the proceeds and then storing them in a cold wallet under his control.

“These convictions reflect the relentless efforts of the U.S. Attorney’s Office and the FBI in identifying a cybercriminal, holding him accountable, and prioritizing the victims of his crimes,” said U.S. Attorney Alison Ramsdell in a Tuesday press release. “Although this defendant tried to hide in the shadows of a cyber underworld, he was not beyond the reach of our team, and today’s guilty verdicts should serve as a reminder that this Office and its law enforcement partners will bring cyber criminals to justice, regardless how sophisticated their crimes may be.”

The theft took place in February 2022. According to a local news outlet, the FBI raided Light’s residence, which he shared with his mother, in May 2023, approximately two weeks after he was indicted by a grand jury for conspiracy to commit wire fraud and conspiracy to launder monetary instruments.

Both counts carry a maximum sentence of 20 years, meaning Light faces up to 40 years in prison. No date has yet been set for Light’s sentencing.

SEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal Is Leaving the Agency

Deputy Director Sanjay Wadhwa will take over for Grewal as acting enforcement chief.

Gurbir Grewal, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) director of enforcement, is stepping down and departing the agency, according to a Wednesday press release.

Grewal’s last day will be Oct. 11. Sanjay Wadhwa, Grewal’s deputy director of enforcement, will step in as acting director of the SEC’s enforcement division after Grewal’s departure. Sam Waldon, who is currently the chief counsel for the enforcement division, will be named acting deputy director.

“We have been incredibly fortunate that such an accomplished public servant, Gurbir Grewal, came to the SEC to lead the Division of Enforcement for the last three years,” SEC Chairman Gary Gensler said in a press statement. “Every day, he has thought about how to best protect investors and help ensure market participants comply with our time-tested securities laws. He has led a Division that has acted without fear or favor, following the facts and the law wherever they may lead.”

Under Grewal’s three-year tenure as enforcement director, the SEC authorized more than 2,400 enforcement matters, leading to over $20 billion in disgorgement and civil penalties, and handed out over $1 billion in awards to whistleblowers, according to the press release.

In their announcement of Grewal’s departure, the agency lauded his crypto-related enforcement track record in particular, writing:

“Under Mr. Grewal’s leadership, the Division recommended and the Commission authorized more than 100 enforcement actions addressing widespread noncompliance in the quickly growing crypto space, including against the operators of the largest crypto asset trading platforms in the world and the operator of the largest crypto asset trading platform in the United States for depriving investors of crucial investor protections by not complying with the registration provisions of the federal securities laws.”

The SEC has announced a number of enforcement actions and settlements in the crypto space over the past few weeks, ahead of the end of the fiscal year, including eToro, Mango Markets and Galois Capital.

Bitcoin Bounce Above $62K Quickly Fades; Ether, XRP, ADA, LINK Lose as Torrid October Continues

The largest cryptocurrency’s price is currently retesting its “Bull Market Support Band” trend indicator, where prices often rebounded from pullbacks during uptrends.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) modest rebound from the geopolitical turmoil-induced sell-off was arrested at $62,400 during the Wednesday U.S. session, tumbling back below $61,000 in the later hours.

BTC recently changed hands at $61,100, down 1.5% over the past 24 hours, while the broad crypto market benchmark CoinDesk 20 index was 2% lower during the same period. Altcoins fared worse, with ether (ETH), Ripple’s XRP (XRP), Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK) and Near (NEAR) declining 3%-5% during the day.

U.S. stock indexes remained mostly flat after yesterday’s losses on rising conflict between Israel and Iran. Gold pared some of its gains while oil retraced to $70 from its intraday top at $72, perhaps a sign of easing investor concerns over further military escalation.

The Japanese yen tumbled 1.8% against the U.S. dollar on incoming prime minister Shigeru Ishiba ruling out further interest rate hikes in the near term, saying that the country’s economy isn’t ready yet for more restrictive monetary policy. Keeping central bank policy loose would support risk assets, as the Bank of Japan’s surprise rate hike in August triggered a broad-scale market crash as traders were forced to unwound their positions funded by cheap yen-based loans.

Bitcoin’s key test

Crypto’s dismal start of October, which was widely expected to be a bullish month, has left crypto traders worried about further downside as the euphoria from bitcoin’s swift run to $66,000 from $52,000 last month quickly faded.

Whether prices rebound or tumble lower may depend on bitcoin’s ongoing retest of its “Bull Market Support Band,” a key trend indicator defined by the asset’s 20-week simple moving average (SMA) and a 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). The band often served as support for prices during previous uptrends, and currently ranges between $61,100 and $62,900. A bounce from the band would reinvigorate the uptrend from the September lows to target, but a decisive break below could undo all the recovery, with many more weeks chopping below $60,000.

Analysts at crypto hedge fund QCP said that bitcoin could tumble to as low as $55,000 if the Middle East conflict escalates further and investors move risk-off, but the $60,000 level acted as solid support so far.

“Middle East geopolitics will steal the limelight for now, but the shallow sell-off suggests that the market remains well bid for risk assets,” QCP said in a Tuesday update.

“This minor setback shouldn’t distract from the bigger picture,” QCP analysts added. “Asset prices are expected to remain supported heading into 2025, as both the largest (the Federal Reserve) and third-largest (People’s Bank of China) central banks in the world have started their cutting cycles in earnest.”

Blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant noted signs of BTC demand recovering from the summer slump, driven by U.S.-listed spot ETFs.

If demand picks up and favorable year-end seasonality materializes, BTC could target the $85,000-$100,000 range in the last quarter, according to CryptoQuant.

“These levels align with the upper range of the on-chain trader realized price bands, where short-term traders often take profits following price rallies,” CryptoQuant analysts said.